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Called 35 days ago · 6-12 months
#1 Follow “Go Woke Go broke. Companies that remove what people want to push an agenda instead, will lose money.”
In plain terms Companies that abandon what customers actually want in order to push a social/political agenda will suffer consumer backlash and lose money, while their neutral or pro-consumer rivals gain share.
The trades · 4 −1.4% since called
Short Anheuser-Busch InBev (BUD) SHORT
Equity · options · 6-12 months
BUD is the textbook 'go woke go broke' casualty: the 2023 Bud Light / Dylan Mulvaney backlash triggered a durable boycott that cost it the #1 US beer crown and permanently reset its domestic volumes. Shorting the parent is the most direct expression of the thesis that alienating your core customer destroys franchise value. Size modestly (3-6% of capital) given uncapped short downside.
Long Constellation Brands (STZ) LONG
Equity · spot
This is the cleanest second-order winner: the beer volume that fled Bud Light didn't vanish, it flowed straight to Modelo Especial, which overtook Bud Light as America's #1 beer — and Modelo's US rights belong to Constellation. STZ is the specific name that monetised the backlash rather than a broad 'consumer staples' proxy. Suggested 5-8% allocation.
Long Molson Coors (TAP) LONG
Equity · spot
The other direct beneficiary: Coors Light and Miller Lite captured a wall of switchers during the Bud Light boycott, and TAP re-rated hard off it. It expresses the flip side of the thesis — the rival that simply kept serving its customer took share. Complements the STZ position as the domestic (vs import) share-gainer; size 3-5%.
Target put options (TGT) SHORT
Equity · options · 6-12 months
Target's Pride-merchandise controversy drove its first traffic declines in years and sustained comp-sales weakness — the retail archetype of the thesis. Longer-dated puts give leveraged, defined-risk exposure to further boycott-driven downside without the uncapped loss of a short sale. Keep premium at risk small (1-3% of capital).
Tracking since 3 Jul equal-weighted · 4 trades